New York City Marathon 4:00 pace chart

A 4:00:00 finish at the New York City Marathon averages 9:09 per mile (5:41 per kilometre) — the classic sub-4 target, close to the middle of a typical big-city field. Run at even effort rather than even pace, the easiest mile comes in around 8:21/mi and the hardest around 9:50/mi — about 89 seconds between the two extremes. Holding an identical number on every mile of a course with this profile means running the climbs too hard and the descents too easy. Held at even effort, halfway comes up at 1:59:21 — a 1:18 positive split, which is what the terrain costs you rather than a pacing error. The hardest mile on the course sits near kilometre 37; at this goal time it should take 9:50/mi, and giving it that time is the difference between finishing New York on plan and unravelling in the last hour.

Mile-by-mile targets for 4:00:00

Grade-adjusted splits computed from the New York City Marathon elevation profile with the Minetti gradient-cost model, scaled so the full course adds up to 4:00:00. Uphill sections get more time, downhills less, at one constant effort throughout.

MileTarget /miTarget /kmElev ΔElapsed
18:215:11-117 ft (-36 m)8:21
29:446:03+58 ft (+18 m)18:05
39:235:50+24 ft (+7 m)27:28
49:135:44+7 ft (+2 m)36:41
58:565:33-23 ft (-7 m)45:37
68:575:33-23 ft (-7 m)54:33
79:025:37-12 ft (-4 m)1:03:35
89:165:45+13 ft (+4 m)1:12:51
99:295:53+32 ft (+10 m)1:22:20
108:375:21-57 ft (-17 m)1:30:57
119:315:55+39 ft (+12 m)1:40:28
128:475:28-38 ft (-12 m)1:49:15
139:065:39-5 ft (-2 m)1:58:21
149:095:41+1 ft (0 m)2:07:30
159:125:43+6 ft (+2 m)2:16:41
169:396:00+45 ft (+14 m)2:26:21
178:555:32-25 ft (-8 m)2:35:15
188:545:32-28 ft (-9 m)2:44:09
199:105:42+4 ft (+1 m)2:53:20
209:195:48+18 ft (+5 m)3:02:39
218:545:32-27 ft (-8 m)3:11:33
229:205:48+20 ft (+6 m)3:20:53
239:135:43+7 ft (+2 m)3:30:05
249:506:06+69 ft (+21 m)3:39:55
258:575:34-27 ft (-8 m)3:48:52
269:095:41-1 ft (0 m)3:58:01
26.29:045:38-2 ft (-1 m)4:00:00

Frequently asked questions

What pace is a 4:00 marathon?

A 4:00:00 marathon is 9:09 per mile or 5:41 per kilometre held for the full 26.2 miles (42.195 km). On the New York City Marathon specifically, the elevation profile means even effort produces uneven splits — the table on this page gives the target for every mile.

What should my halfway split be for a 4:00 at the New York City Marathon?

1:59:21. That is the grade-adjusted halfway target for this course, not simply half of 4:00:00 — it accounts for where the climbing sits. Reaching the half meaningfully faster than this on this course usually means you have spent the effort you need for the closing miles.

Should I run even splits at the New York City Marathon?

Even effort at a 4:00 goal produces splits between 8:21 and 9:50 per mile — about 89 seconds between the easiest and hardest one. Grade-adjusted pacing gives back time on the descents and spends it on the climbs, which is what running an even physiological effort actually looks like on a course with this profile.

How are these New York City Marathon splits calculated?

Each mile is weighted by its gradient using the Minetti et al. (2002) cost-of-running polynomial, which measures the metabolic cost of running at grades from −45% to +45%. The total is then scaled so the whole course adds up to 4:00:00. Uphill sections get more time and downhill sections less, at a constant effort throughout.

Is 4:00 a realistic marathon goal?

4:00 is the classic sub-4 target, close to the middle of a typical big-city field. Whether it is realistic for you depends on your recent race results and weekly volume rather than on the number itself — the race-time predictor on this site will convert a recent 5K, 10K or half-marathon result into a marathon estimate using the Riegel power-law model.

Other goal times at the New York City Marathon

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