New York City Marathon 3:45 pace chart
A 3:45:00 finish at the New York City Marathon averages 8:35 per mile (5:20 per kilometre) — a fast recreational time, roughly the top quintile of a big-city field. Run at even effort rather than even pace, the easiest mile comes in around 7:49/mi and the hardest around 9:13/mi — about 83 seconds between the two extremes. Holding an identical number on every mile of a course with this profile means running the climbs too hard and the descents too easy. Held at even effort, halfway comes up at 1:51:53 — a 1:13 positive split, which is what the terrain costs you rather than a pacing error. The hardest mile on the course sits near kilometre 37; at this goal time it should take 9:13/mi, and giving it that time is the difference between finishing New York on plan and unravelling in the last hour.
Mile-by-mile targets for 3:45:00
Grade-adjusted splits computed from the New York City Marathon elevation profile with the Minetti gradient-cost model, scaled so the full course adds up to 3:45:00. Uphill sections get more time, downhills less, at one constant effort throughout.
| Mile | Target /mi | Target /km | Elev Δ | Elapsed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7:49 | 4:52 | -117 ft (-36 m) | 7:49 |
| 2 | 9:08 | 5:40 | +58 ft (+18 m) | 16:57 |
| 3 | 8:47 | 5:28 | +24 ft (+7 m) | 25:45 |
| 4 | 8:38 | 5:22 | +7 ft (+2 m) | 34:23 |
| 5 | 8:22 | 5:12 | -23 ft (-7 m) | 42:45 |
| 6 | 8:23 | 5:13 | -23 ft (-7 m) | 51:09 |
| 7 | 8:28 | 5:16 | -12 ft (-4 m) | 59:37 |
| 8 | 8:41 | 5:24 | +13 ft (+4 m) | 1:08:18 |
| 9 | 8:53 | 5:31 | +32 ft (+10 m) | 1:17:11 |
| 10 | 8:05 | 5:01 | -57 ft (-17 m) | 1:25:16 |
| 11 | 8:55 | 5:33 | +39 ft (+12 m) | 1:34:11 |
| 12 | 8:15 | 5:07 | -38 ft (-12 m) | 1:42:25 |
| 13 | 8:32 | 5:18 | -5 ft (-2 m) | 1:50:57 |
| 14 | 8:35 | 5:20 | +1 ft (0 m) | 1:59:32 |
| 15 | 8:37 | 5:21 | +6 ft (+2 m) | 2:08:09 |
| 16 | 9:03 | 5:37 | +45 ft (+14 m) | 2:17:12 |
| 17 | 8:21 | 5:11 | -25 ft (-8 m) | 2:25:33 |
| 18 | 8:20 | 5:11 | -28 ft (-9 m) | 2:33:53 |
| 19 | 8:36 | 5:21 | +4 ft (+1 m) | 2:42:30 |
| 20 | 8:44 | 5:26 | +18 ft (+5 m) | 2:51:14 |
| 21 | 8:20 | 5:11 | -27 ft (-8 m) | 2:59:34 |
| 22 | 8:45 | 5:26 | +20 ft (+6 m) | 3:08:19 |
| 23 | 8:38 | 5:22 | +7 ft (+2 m) | 3:16:57 |
| 24 | 9:13 | 5:43 | +69 ft (+21 m) | 3:26:10 |
| 25 | 8:24 | 5:13 | -27 ft (-8 m) | 3:34:34 |
| 26 | 8:35 | 5:20 | -1 ft (0 m) | 3:43:08 |
| 26.2 | 8:30 | 5:17 | -2 ft (-1 m) | 3:45:00 |
Frequently asked questions
What pace is a 3:45 marathon?
A 3:45:00 marathon is 8:35 per mile or 5:20 per kilometre held for the full 26.2 miles (42.195 km). On the New York City Marathon specifically, the elevation profile means even effort produces uneven splits — the table on this page gives the target for every mile.
What should my halfway split be for a 3:45 at the New York City Marathon?
1:51:53. That is the grade-adjusted halfway target for this course, not simply half of 3:45:00 — it accounts for where the climbing sits. Reaching the half meaningfully faster than this on this course usually means you have spent the effort you need for the closing miles.
Should I run even splits at the New York City Marathon?
Even effort at a 3:45 goal produces splits between 7:49 and 9:13 per mile — about 83 seconds between the easiest and hardest one. Grade-adjusted pacing gives back time on the descents and spends it on the climbs, which is what running an even physiological effort actually looks like on a course with this profile.
How are these New York City Marathon splits calculated?
Each mile is weighted by its gradient using the Minetti et al. (2002) cost-of-running polynomial, which measures the metabolic cost of running at grades from −45% to +45%. The total is then scaled so the whole course adds up to 3:45:00. Uphill sections get more time and downhill sections less, at a constant effort throughout.
Is 3:45 a realistic marathon goal?
3:45 is a fast recreational time, roughly the top quintile of a big-city field. Whether it is realistic for you depends on your recent race results and weekly volume rather than on the number itself — the race-time predictor on this site will convert a recent 5K, 10K or half-marathon result into a marathon estimate using the Riegel power-law model.