Manchester Marathon 5:30 pace chart
A 5:30:00 finish at the Manchester Marathon averages 12:35 per mile (7:49 per kilometre) — a steady, sustainable finish, and the pace most first-time marathoners should actually target. Run at even effort rather than even pace, the easiest kilometre comes in around 7:06/km and the hardest around 8:18/km — about 72 seconds between the two extremes. Holding an identical number on every kilometre of a course with this profile means running the climbs too hard and the descents too easy. Held at even effort, halfway comes up at 2:45:41 — a 1:22 negative split, because the harder half comes first. The hardest kilometre on the course sits near kilometre 20; at this goal time it should take 8:18/km, and giving it that time is the difference between finishing Manchester on plan and unravelling in the last hour.
Kilometre-by-kilometre targets for 5:30:00
Grade-adjusted splits computed from the Manchester Marathon elevation profile with the Minetti gradient-cost model, scaled so the full course adds up to 5:30:00. Uphill sections get more time, downhills less, at one constant effort throughout.
| Kilometre | Target /km | Target /mi | Elev Δ | Elapsed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7:45 | 12:28 | -6 ft (-2 m) | 7:45 |
| 2 | 7:44 | 12:26 | -7 ft (-2 m) | 15:28 |
| 3 | 7:53 | 12:41 | +4 ft (+1 m) | 23:21 |
| 4 | 7:49 | 12:35 | -1 ft (0 m) | 31:10 |
| 5 | 7:42 | 12:24 | -9 ft (-3 m) | 38:52 |
| 6 | 7:55 | 12:44 | +8 ft (+2 m) | 46:47 |
| 7 | 8:05 | 13:01 | +20 ft (+6 m) | 54:52 |
| 8 | 7:38 | 12:17 | -15 ft (-4 m) | 1:02:31 |
| 9 | 7:50 | 12:36 | +1 ft (0 m) | 1:10:20 |
| 10 | 7:40 | 12:20 | -13 ft (-4 m) | 1:18:00 |
| 11 | 7:51 | 12:38 | +3 ft (+1 m) | 1:25:51 |
| 12 | 7:55 | 12:45 | +8 ft (+3 m) | 1:33:47 |
| 13 | 7:56 | 12:47 | +10 ft (+3 m) | 1:41:43 |
| 14 | 7:47 | 12:31 | -3 ft (-1 m) | 1:49:30 |
| 15 | 7:41 | 12:23 | -10 ft (-3 m) | 1:57:12 |
| 16 | 7:52 | 12:40 | +5 ft (+1 m) | 2:05:04 |
| 17 | 8:02 | 12:55 | +16 ft (+5 m) | 2:13:06 |
| 18 | 7:44 | 12:27 | -6 ft (-2 m) | 2:20:50 |
| 19 | 7:47 | 12:31 | -3 ft (-1 m) | 2:28:37 |
| 20 | 8:05 | 13:00 | +20 ft (+6 m) | 2:36:41 |
| 21 | 8:18 | 13:21 | +36 ft (+11 m) | 2:44:59 |
| 22 | 7:06 | 11:25 | -59 ft (-18 m) | 2:52:05 |
| 23 | 7:54 | 12:42 | +6 ft (+2 m) | 2:59:59 |
| 24 | 7:47 | 12:32 | -2 ft (-1 m) | 3:07:46 |
| 25 | 7:46 | 12:29 | -5 ft (-1 m) | 3:15:31 |
| 26 | 7:42 | 12:23 | -9 ft (-3 m) | 3:23:13 |
| 27 | 7:50 | 12:36 | +1 ft (0 m) | 3:31:03 |
| 28 | 7:46 | 12:30 | -3 ft (-1 m) | 3:38:49 |
| 29 | 7:45 | 12:28 | -5 ft (-2 m) | 3:46:34 |
| 30 | 7:48 | 12:33 | -1 ft (0 m) | 3:54:22 |
| 31 | 7:48 | 12:33 | -1 ft (0 m) | 4:02:09 |
| 32 | 7:42 | 12:24 | -9 ft (-3 m) | 4:09:51 |
| 33 | 7:44 | 12:27 | -6 ft (-2 m) | 4:17:36 |
| 34 | 7:37 | 12:15 | -16 ft (-5 m) | 4:25:13 |
| 35 | 7:56 | 12:46 | +7 ft (+2 m) | 4:33:08 |
| 36 | 8:04 | 12:58 | +19 ft (+6 m) | 4:41:12 |
| 37 | 7:55 | 12:44 | +8 ft (+2 m) | 4:49:07 |
| 38 | 7:51 | 12:38 | +3 ft (+1 m) | 4:56:58 |
| 39 | 7:52 | 12:40 | +4 ft (+1 m) | 5:04:50 |
| 40 | 7:50 | 12:37 | +2 ft (+1 m) | 5:12:40 |
| 41 | 7:48 | 12:33 | -2 ft (-1 m) | 5:20:28 |
| 42 | 8:06 | 13:02 | +21 ft (+6 m) | 5:28:34 |
| 42.2 | 7:21 | 11:50 | -7 ft (-2 m) | 5:30:00 |
Frequently asked questions
What pace is a 5:30 marathon?
A 5:30:00 marathon is 12:35 per mile or 7:49 per kilometre held for the full 26.2 miles (42.195 km). On the Manchester Marathon specifically, the elevation profile means even effort produces uneven splits — the table on this page gives the target for every kilometre.
What should my halfway split be for a 5:30 at the Manchester Marathon?
2:45:41. That is the grade-adjusted halfway target for this course, not simply half of 5:30:00 — it accounts for where the climbing sits. Reaching the half meaningfully faster than this on this course usually means you have spent the effort you need for the closing miles.
Should I run even splits at the Manchester Marathon?
Even effort at a 5:30 goal produces splits between 7:06 and 8:18 per kilometre — about 72 seconds between the easiest and hardest one. Grade-adjusted pacing gives back time on the descents and spends it on the climbs, which is what running an even physiological effort actually looks like on a course with this profile.
How are these Manchester Marathon splits calculated?
Each kilometre is weighted by its gradient using the Minetti et al. (2002) cost-of-running polynomial, which measures the metabolic cost of running at grades from −45% to +45%. The total is then scaled so the whole course adds up to 5:30:00. Uphill sections get more time and downhill sections less, at a constant effort throughout.
Is 5:30 a realistic marathon goal?
5:30 is a steady, sustainable finish, and the pace most first-time marathoners should actually target. Whether it is realistic for you depends on your recent race results and weekly volume rather than on the number itself — the race-time predictor on this site will convert a recent 5K, 10K or half-marathon result into a marathon estimate using the Riegel power-law model.